Marist/NBC/WSJ South Carolina Poll: Trump 28, Cruz 23

Posted by on Feb 19, 2016 at 7:31 am

The NBC/WSJ poll from Wednesday seemed like an outlier with other polls released Thursday showing Trump with a commanding lead. Now another poll conducted by Marist for NBC/WSJ seems to confirm those earlier results and things could be interesting Saturday night.

Ted Cruz has made a deep cut into Donald Trump’s advantage in South Carolina, according to a new poll released on Friday.

The survey of likely Republican primary voters, conducted by Marist for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, suggests a sudden tightening GOP race only a day before Saturday’s potentially pivotal contest — and after weeks when it seemed Trump would romp in the first-in-the-South primary.

While Trump leads Cruz 28 percent to 23 percent, his edge is barely outside the margin of error, in stark contrast to polls released in recent days that showed him with a clear double-digit advantage over the Texas senator. In the previous NBC/WSJ/Marist poll, conducted in mid-January, Trump held a 16-point lead over Cruz.

Marco Rubio finished third with 15 percent in the new poll, statistically tied with Jeb Bush, who picked up 13 percent. Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Ben Carson rounded out the field with 9 percent each, though barely statistically behind Bush.

As the Wednesday poll showed if it’s down to a two-man race between Trump and anyone else, Trump loses big. Maybe we’ll see Cruz and Rubio declare a ceasefire after South Carolina or Nevada, with one throwing support behind the other. Let’s face it, Trump’s never going to rise above the mid-30s, and that spells doom for the GOP come November,

Trump holds a clear advantage among those who said they have never voted in a South Carolina Republican primary, with 35 percent of that group backing him. The second-highest share of first-timers are behind Cruz, at 18 percent, while 16 percent said they back Bush. The Manhattan businessman also leads among those 45 and older, unmarried voters and voters who do not practice a religion. He also holds a two-point advantage over Cruz among those who said they do practice a religion, as well as among those who are veterans and those who are not.

Trump has not taken kindly to polls showing him in any place other than first or otherwise losing ground. On Thursday, Trump laced into The Wall Street Journal in particular, one of the sponsors of a national survey that showed Cruz up by a mere two points.

“In my opinion, it was a fix, you want to know the truth,” he told Sirius XM’s Breitbart News Daily. “CBS just came out with a poll that says the same as every other poll. You know, Wall Street Journal came out with a poll, ‘cause I’m not a big fan of the Wall Street Journal.”

What a pathetic schmuck this guy is. Like a baby when he doesn’t get his way he has a tantrum.

3 Responses to “Marist/NBC/WSJ South Carolina Poll: Trump 28, Cruz 23”

  1. WTP on 23/23/16 at 5:27 pm

    Heh….just reading this today…and the results in SC were:
    Trump 32.5%
    Rubio 22.5%.
    Cruz 22.3%

    So perhaps you should revisit the statement “Let’s face it, Trump’s never going to rise above the mid-30s”. He’s already there, and if you think Cruz voters will roll for Rubio and that there aren’t a significant number of Trump votes hiding in Cruz, Carson, and even Rubio preferences I think you are as sadly mistaken as you were with this prediction.

    As for “What a pathetic schmuck this guy is. Like a baby when he doesn’t get his way he has a tantrum.”, seems he was right. So who’s the pathetic schmuck now?

  2. WTP on 24/24/16 at 9:19 am

    “Let’s face it, Trump’s never going to rise above the mid-30s, and that spells doom for the GOP come November,”

    NV results,
    Trump 46.1%
    Rubes 24,0%
    Cruz 21.5%