Carson Now Leads Fading Trump Nationally in NYT/CBS Poll

Posted by on Oct 27, 2015 at 7:52 am

The clown Trump should have gotten out while he could claim he was still leading. The novelty act of this carnival barker has finally worn off.

Ben Carson has taken a narrow lead nationally in the Republican presidential campaign, dislodging Donald J. Trump from the top spot for the first time in months, according to a New York Times/CBS News survey released on Tuesday.

Mr. Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, is the choice of 26 percent of Republican primary voters, the poll found, while Mr. Trump now wins support from 22 percent, although the difference lies within the margin of sampling error.

The survey is the first time that Mr. Trump has not led all candidates since The Times and CBS News began measuring presidential preferences at the end of July.

No other candidate comes close to Mr. Carson and Mr. Trump. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida received 8 percent while former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida and Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard chief executive, are each the choice of 7 percent of Republican primary voters.

Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio each received support from 4 percent of those surveyed.

The poll represents a single waypoint in a long nominating process that has already seen considerable volatility. The third Republican debate is on Wednesday, which could further scramble the unsettled field. Such early polls have proven unreliable predictors of the eventual winner, and the first nominating contest, the Iowa caucus, is still more than three months away.

Indeed, the new survey shows that the vast majority of Republicans have not firmly made up their minds: Seven in 10 of those who expressed support for a candidate said it was too early to say for sure who they would support. Just 28 percent indicated that their minds were made up.

We still don’t see Carson maintaining his popularity, although he’s preferable to Trump. Expect an ugly meltdown from Trump soon, as his frail ego can’t handle the idea of losing. Meanwhile, keep an eye on Rubio as we move forward. The media’s already attacking him for missing Senate votes, but let’s put that in perspective:

Not that facts ever get in the way of a Democrat narrative.

Meanwhile, Trump has snagged the key convicted rapist endorsement:

So Trump touts the support of a rapist, while Hillary Clinton is married to one.

One Response to “Carson Now Leads Fading Trump Nationally in NYT/CBS Poll”

  1. formwiz on 27/27/15 at 11:32 am

    “The novelty act of this carnival barker has finally worn off.”


    Carson up by 4.

    MOE of 6.

    First, the MOE should be 3 or less. Any more and the poll’s a joke

    Second, if Carson is only up by 4, then it’s it’s just as likely he’s down by at least 2.

    We’re where we were when Barry started “surging” in ’12.