Well, It’s Over: Obama Leads by Two Points in Virginia

Posted by on Sep 27, 2012 at 6:53 pm

Mitt Romney may as well just stop campaigning and urge his supporters to vote for Obama. It’s all over except for the formalities. Hey, what time is Jay-Z playing at the inauguration?

The Suffolk University/NBC12 poll shows President Obama leading Republican candidate Mitt Romney just 46-44 percent, showing the race in the key battleground state is still extremely close.

Obama had previously appeared to be building momentum with recent polls giving him a seven and eight-point leads.

“Barack Obama shows personal popularity and strength, especially outside of the D.C. area in northern Virginia,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “However, with job approval and head-to-head numbers stuck at 46 percent, it will be a significant challenge for Obama to convince the remaining undecided voters to re-elect him.”

Just imagine how awesomely popular he’d be if voters knew the truth about what went on in Libya. Let’s face it, if he can’t go above 46 on November 6, he won’t be winning Virginia.

By the way, unlike other polls, this one actually has a realistic sample at 38D/35R/27I, and 15% of them are undecided.


3 Responses to “Well, It’s Over: Obama Leads by Two Points in Virginia”

  1. chipperoo on 27/27/12 at 7:29 pm

    Let’s face it, if he can’t go above 46 on November 6, he won’t be winning Virginia.” True ‘dat.

    The electorate here in Virginia is deeply divided. But all the intensity is on the right. When the fickle mushheads — I’m sorry, moderate independent undecides make their decision they’ll break in the direction of that intensity, probably by 2 to 1 or better.

  2. NateDogg614 on 28/28/12 at 8:19 am

    One key piece of the puzzle that has not fallen into place, particularly in Northern Virginia, is the treat of layoffs. Some key defense contractors are likely to issue layoff warnings before the election, and that could have a potentially significant impact on the way NOVA votes (and that will in turn impact how the state swings).