Stunner: Obama Opens Big Leads in Another Skewed Poll

Posted by on Sep 26, 2012 at 7:37 am

Another effort to depress GOP turnout, courtesy of the New York Times and Qunnipiac.

The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.

The surveys, which had margins of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for each candidate, also included a Pennsylvania poll, where Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by 12 percentage points.

So Obama allegedly is up 10 in Ohio, 9 in Florida and 12 in Pennsylvania? Sure.

Here’s the sample they use.

So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample. I notice in all the orgasmic news reports this morning none of them mention the ridiculous skew to the polls. But all you will hear all day is how big a lead Obama has.

This is not to suggest Romney doesn’t have some problems six weeks from election day, but is there anyone out there who believes he’s going to lose any of these states by double digits?

I’m starting to wonder if these polling outfits are secretly working with PPPPolling.

15 Responses to “Stunner: Obama Opens Big Leads in Another Skewed Poll”

  1. NateDogg614 on 26/26/12 at 7:39 am

    “So Obama allegedly is up 10 in Ohio, 9 in Florida and 12 in Pennsylvania? Sure.”

    There is no….f***ing….way…..that is accurate.

  2. Blue Hen on 26/26/12 at 9:24 am

    Florida with a D+9 sample, Ohio with a D+9 sample and Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample

    What does this mirror, if anything? 2008? 2010? 2004? The closest apt scenario is a replay of 2004 (incumbent running for re-election). I’m working from memory, but PA seems to be the only sample that’s even close to 2008, which isn’t likely to recur.

  3. Lightwave on 26/26/12 at 9:29 am

    The explanation is to cover up the obvious attempt to steal the election with millions of fraudlent votes. Democrats outnumber Republicans in PA by 11 points? Nobody believes that in a SWING STATE THAT ELECTED A REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR AND LEGISLATURE TWO YEARS AGO.

    At this point if you’re not a poll watcher volunteer for TRUE THE VOTE, you are letting these criminals steal your country. It is time for patriots to stand up now or be forevermore silent.

  4. Alec Leamas on 26/26/12 at 9:49 am

    Obama won Pennsylvania in 2008 by 10 points. To believe the poll is to believe that he actually has more support now in Pennsylvania than he did during Hope and Change, Lower the Seas time.

  5. Chipperoo on 26/26/12 at 10:43 am

    Wait, PPPPolling is not Public Policy Polling, i.e., PPP. PPPPolling is a satirical twitter feed that mocks the absurd bias of the polling outfits. Take a look at their feed on twitter — it’s pretty damned funny.

  6. deadite on 26/26/12 at 10:51 am

    2008:
    Ohio
    Final Results 51.5 46.9 Obama +4.6
    Florida
    Final Results 51.0 48.2 Obama +2.8
    Penn
    Final Results 54.5 44.2 Obama +10.3

    ‘Nuff said.

    Bottom line – with the mixes they are using, they must be terrified. This is the only way they can try to move the poles – we can only draw the conclusion that Romney is winning. In all the swing states, because just as they are hoping that this depresses R votes, they must understand that a lot of already demoralized D’s will end up not voting, figuring that its in the bag, but they themselves can’t pull the lever for the Won.

    Blowout? I’m not going to dismiss that…

  7. kakypat on 26/26/12 at 12:24 pm

    I heard these polls reported on FNC and was shocked when the reporter said they polled, at least, D +9! Maybe this scam is finally being exposed somewhere except in the blogosphere?

  8. Blue Hen on 26/26/12 at 1:00 pm

    I expect to see a mix closer to 2010 than 2008. That’s what Rasmussen is showing…

    I dunno. 2004 is a more apt scenario. There was no national race on any ticket in 2010. We’d LIKE 2010 to be the model, just as leftists are obviously pretending that the model will be 2008 on steroids. The latter is a fantasy; the former is less so, but has problems.

  9. Gyrovagus on 26/26/12 at 1:38 pm

    I have no problem believing Romney is going to get crushed. Most people do not like the guy-remember when he couldn’t finish off the primaries and kept having embarassing losses? And thoe were his glory days!

  10. Blue Hen on 26/26/12 at 2:11 pm

    Gosh that last comment was chock full of smarts. Everyone else is talking about polling models and samples, and in comes gyro to ignore all that and go straight for the pom poms. Go team boyfriend!