Poll: Romney Gains Five Points in Virginia, Now in Statistical Tie

Posted by on Jul 19, 2012 at 7:59 am
romney

Wait until the full impact of “You didn’t build that” sinks in. One can only imagine the levels of desperation the fading Democrats will sink to.

A new survey shows Mitt Romney tied with President Barack Obama in the battleground state of Virginia, exciting news for a Republican challenger who has consistently trailed in recent polling of the state.

The survey, released Thursday by Quinnipiac University, shows each candidate garnering 44 percent of the vote. That’s a five point swing in Romney’s favor since the early June.

The poll comes a day after a CBS / New York Times poll showed Romney with a narrow one-point lead, the first national survey in weeks to show the Republican challenger ahead. And, as with the national numbers, Romney seems buoyed by voter’s perceptions on the economy. Virginians surveyed said the Republican challenger would do a better job on the economy, by a 47-44 percent margin.

The poll also found former Sen. George Allen (R-Va.) with a 46-44 percent lead over former Democratic Gov. Tim Kaine in the state’s deadlocked and hotly-contested U.S. Senate race.

Anyone get the impression the nonstop attacks on Mitt Romney aren’t making a dent?

And in a sign that the newfound negative tone of the campaign may be backfiring, the poll showed Obama’s favorability ratings – always his strong suit – at an all-time low as president.  Only 36 percent in the NYT/CBS poll view him favorably, a six-point drop over the last three months, with 48 percent viewing him unfavorably. Romney’s favorables aren’t good, either – 32/36 fav/unfav – but mutually assured destruction isn’t going to win the election for the president.

The state-by-state numbers aren’t any more encouraging.  Quinnipiac’s just-released poll of Virginia voters shows Obama and Romney tied, with Obama only polling at 44 percent.  Among non-college educated whites, Obama’s job approval dropped even further, down to 29 percent, with only 40 percent of college-educated whites approving of his job performance.  To compensate in the Old Dominion, Obama would need overwhelming support from minorities and turnout comparable to their 2008 levels.

All told, the numbers paint a picture of voters growing increasingly disillusioned with the president.   By going hard negative against Romney, the president is landing some solid blows.  But without much of a positive governing agenda to campaign on, it doesn’t look like that will be enough by itself.

Gee, you suppose calling Romney a felon, compounded with Obama’s shift into full-blown Socialist mode is hurting him? Whodathunkit?

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4 Responses to “Poll: Romney Gains Five Points in Virginia, Now in Statistical Tie”

  1. MM on 19/19/12 at 10:29 am

    I live in Virginia on the outskirts of the DC burbs. We’ve been getting absolutely barraged with Obama ads on TV. Not a single pro-Obama ad – all are attack ads against Romney. I can’t recall seeing a single Romney ad. If Obama is losing ground, despite almost complete domination on the airwaves, forget it, he’s toast in Virginia.

  2. Blue Hen on 19/19/12 at 12:57 pm

    Well. Ain’t that a shame. The dear leader was whining about how he was losing the funding war, and now the people thinking about ponying up are now seeing that $100 million doesn’t buy much these days. When it’s spent by the dear leader anyway. That might tend to hurt future “earnings”. Who knows what lurks in the hearts and minds of donors? Can’t say for sure, but I bet it doesn’t inspire confidence.

  3. William Teach on 19/19/12 at 6:20 pm

    Romney should release his tax returns (which are not required by that pesky Constitution) the same day Obama removes his Exec Privilege for Fast and Furious and sends all the requested documents over to Congress.