Panic Time? Romney Gains Eight Points on Faltering Obama in California as Independents Flee in Droves

Posted by on Oct 11, 2012 at 8:24 am

Let’s not get too excited just yet. While Obama’s firewalls crumble around the nation California is probably still safe. But what was a 22-point edge just a week ago is now down to 14 points.

No sample is provided but you assume it’s overwhelmingly Democrat.

The effects of President Barack Obama’s falter in the first debate with Mitt Romney are not just being felt in battleground states, according to KPIX-TV CBS 5′s latest tracking poll of California which shows Romney slicing eight points off Obama’s lead.

Obama had led by 22 points in the CBS 5 tracking poll released four weeks ago. Obama now leads by only 14 points, an 8-point improvement for Romney. At the same time, the poll found U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s support for her re-election bid remained largely unchanged, month-on-month, suggesting that the erosion in Democratic support is not across-the-board, but contained to Obama. Unclear is whether the Obama erosion is fleeting or long-lasting.

The poll data released Wednesday showed Obama 53%, Romney 39%, in California. Obama carried the Golden State by 24 points in 2008, so the poll found Obama is now running 10 points weaker than he ran 4 years ago. Among Independents, Obama led by 14 in September, but now trails by 9 in October, a 23-point right turn among the most coveted voters. One explanation, based on the poll data: The number of Romney supporters who said they were voting “for Mitt Romney” as opposed to “against Barack Obama” is way up, month over month.

Obama has basically set up residence in California so he can hang out and party with his Hollywood pals, but it sure looks like independents are abandoning him in droves. A 23-point swing in one month? Incredible.

6 Responses to “Panic Time? Romney Gains Eight Points on Faltering Obama in California as Independents Flee in Droves”

  1. Blue Hen on 11/11/12 at 9:14 am

    This is huge. It’s like a huge, stoned, broke canary in a coal mine. obama won in 2008 with a lead in independents and being the anti-bush. Now he can’t even retain a majority of independents in CA? The only caveat is that the Republican party in CA is so whipped that the majority of independents there are likely republican refugees.

    Anyhoo, anyone thinking about making a (legitimate) donation now will be thinking twice.

  2. Chipperoo on 11/11/12 at 9:25 am

    California is truly a lost cause for the GOP. Four years from now, Romney could be running for re-election. Even if America could have enjoyed a first term including the repeal of O-care, an average 5% per year growth in GDP, an unemployment rate down to 4%, with 12 million new jobs, a newfound energy independence, with gasoline prices down to $2 per gallon, and an avoidance of war, Romney would still lose California.

  3. Blue Hen on 11/11/12 at 9:34 am

    I got that neither he, any republican or Christ Himself could win CA. The fact that he’s making inroads there is still big. It’s a threefer. He is attracting independents and he is starting to energize what little remains of republicans. That may have some effect on down ticket races, though probably not enough to knock off one of the witches of the West. It also cuts into the popular vote. And it signals that the dear leader is losing his sheen, even on the Left coast. It’s kinda hard to talk about having PA in your pocket when you post dramatic losses in CA.

  4. Uncle Monkey on 11/11/12 at 9:52 am

    If we’re still shelling out $5+ a gallon for gas in three weeks who knows what could happen in CA.

  5. Teri Pittman on 11/11/12 at 12:25 pm

    Obama is showing ads in Oregon now too. At least Washington state is safe for him. If the West Coast crumbles, he is in big trouble.

  6. Blue Hen on 11/11/12 at 3:30 pm

    If the West Coast crumbles, he is in big trouble

    If he loses the West coast, then he lost in a landslide. This time next week we’ll know whether he’s desperately trying to avoid a blowout or is fighting a true close race. I wanna believe the former, and his running ads there may be proof. But wouldn’t any party run at least some ads in safe states so as to keep the base fired up?