Obama, Romney Tied Among Likely Voters in D+7 Poll

Posted by on Oct 02, 2012 at 9:22 pm

Have to give these folks credit for publishing poll results and not hiding the sample. What a refreshing change from some of these dubious media polls we’ve bee seeing.

This cannot be good news for the stumbling Obama campaign.

President Obama and Mitt Romney are deadlocked among likely voters as they prepare to square off in their first presidential debate, according to the latest United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll.

The survey showed that voters remain resistant to either Obama or Romney holding full control of the federal government.

Obama and Romney each pulled in 47 percent support in the poll among likely voters. It is among the narrowest margins of several presidential surveys published ahead of the debate this week. Other polls have shown the president with a slim lead. In this survey, while the race is tied among likely voters, Obama has a 5-point lead, 49 percent to 44 percent, among registered voters.

The survey was conducted Sept. 27-30 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

Romney led in the poll among independents, 49 percent to 41 percent, with both candidates winning more than 90 percent support from their respective parties. The survey had Obama winning 81 percent of the nonwhite vote and Romney carrying 55 percent of white voters.

In estimating the turnout on Nov. 6, the poll projects an electorate that is 74 percent white, 11 percent African-American, and 8 percent Latino. The likely-voter party splits are 36 percent Democratic, 29 percent Republican, and 30 percent independent.

You can bet your last dollar there won’t be 7% more Democrats voting November 6, unless there’s massive voter fraud.

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4 Responses to “Obama, Romney Tied Among Likely Voters in D+7 Poll”

  1. NateDogg614 on 3/03/12 at 7:42 am

    The debates will be key. Romney needs to shine and he has the chance to do that WITHOUT the media filters. Show the American people who he really is and what he stands for and I think he has a better than even shot at winning next month.

  2. Blue Hen on 3/03/12 at 9:37 am

    I’m not sure about whether the debates will be key. Do we really have any reliable information to prove that a significant number of undecideds will choose based upon these? Or that there is a significant number that may either switch, choose to stay home or choose to get out and vote? Unless the answer is yes, then this is wishcasting.

    What is most likely is that both will look to not provide ammunition for the other, and yet strive to look effective.