Obama Now in Dead Heat With Romney in Three States He Won in 2008

Posted by on May 31, 2012 at 8:51 am

At the going rate Obama’s going to have to start defending Illinois and California. If he’s already under water in popularity in three states he won handily in 2008, he’s in deeper trouble than we thought.

President Barack Obama and presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney are deadlocked in three key presidential battleground states, according to a new round of NBC-Marist polls.

Presumptive nominee? Uh, MSNBC, just between you and me, Romney locked up the nomination this past Tuesday.

In Iowa, the two rivals are tied at 44 percent among registered voters, including those who are undecided but leaning toward a candidate. Ten percent of voters in the Hawkeye State are completely undecided.

In Colorado, Obama gets support from 46 percent of registered voters, while Romney gets 45 percent.

And in Nevada, the president is at 48 percent and Romney is at 46 percent.

These three states are all battlegrounds that Obama carried in 2008, but George W. Bush won in 2004.

“These are very, very competitive states,” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted these polls. “Everything is close.”

And when everything is this close already it spell almost certain doom for the failed incumbent.

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2 Responses to “Obama Now in Dead Heat With Romney in Three States He Won in 2008”

  1. NateDogg614 on 31/31/12 at 9:16 am

    And remember, these are registered voters, not likely voters. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Romney had an edge with likely voters.

  2. Looking closely on 31/31/12 at 4:21 pm

    Just to be clear, Romney does have a mathematical lock on the number of delegates necessary to be the Republican presidential nominee, but no, he hasn’t actually been nominated yet.

    So until he actually receives the nomination at the Republican Convention, its both accurate and appropriate to call him the “presumptive nominee”.

    As to the polls referenced above, they’re interesting, but in my opinion you have to take this sort of thing with a gigantic grain of salt. The election is still five months away, effectively an eternity in terms of polling and public opinion, and plenty can happen between now and then to change voters minds either way.