New Florida Poll: Romney 51-44 Among Likely Voters

Posted by on Oct 11, 2012 at 6:13 pm

The way these polls are rapidly shifting it’s obvious Obama’s debate thrashing has moved the needle, but we’re thinking now his national security meltdown and the repeated lies over Benghazi are taking a toll. This new poll suggests voters are abandoning Obama rapidly. (via John E.).

Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead, according to a new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald poll.

The survey conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. That’s a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent — and a direct result of what Obama himself called a “bad night” at the first debate.

The debate prompted 5 percent of previously undecided voters and 2 percent of Obama backers to move to Romney. Another 2 percent of Obama supporters said they are now undecided because of the debate.

“There’s no question in my mind that debate made people stand up and pay attention, and it really wiped away any questions people had about Romney, whether they were undecided or soft for Obama,” said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, which conducted the poll for the Times and its media partners.

Across the board, from who is better suited to improve the economy, to who will protect Medicare, to looking out for the middle-class, to handling foreign policy, likely Florida voters now favor the former Massachusetts governor over the president.

“It’s a very big shift since the debate, and where the shifts are taking place are very, very interesting because they are the types of shifts you see in Florida when something starts to break one way or another,” said Coker, likening it to when Ronald Reagan shot past Jimmy Carter in 1980.

These numbers must be devastating for Obama:

Likewise, Obama’s lead among likely women voters in Florida fell from 15 percentage points last month to just 2 points, 49 percent for Obama and 47 percent for Romney.

Obama’s once 11 point lead among likely independent voters had cascaded into a 13 point lead for Romney this week, 52 percent to 39 percent.

Sadly, delusional Obama supporters just can’t come to grips with reality.

But even fans of Obama are shaking their heads about his debate last week.

North Port resident Virginia Leonard, 92 is a registered Republican who voted for McCain four years ago, but is firmly in Obama’s camp this time. Still, she wondered if Obama had been drugged he was so lethargic in the debate.

Democrat Dora Williams, a 71-year-old St. Petersburg retiree, also supports Obama but was taken aback by the debate.

“I was like, ‘Ooh, why didn’t he speak up?’ But he was caught by surprise so I understand that,” she said. “When somebody is lying to your face, you can be caught off guard.”


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2 Responses to “New Florida Poll: Romney 51-44 Among Likely Voters”

  1. blahblahblah on 11/11/12 at 8:51 pm

    “but we’re thinking now his national security meltdown and the repeated lies over Benghazi are taking a toll”

    Dont forget the Univision “Fast & Furious” documentary that aired what, like a day before the first debate – that could be having an absolutely huge impact yet I havent seen a single person including its possible impact with the ‘post debate bump”

    In fact, if you read the whole TBTimes article on the poll, we see this within:

    “Especially ominous were the numbers for Hispanic voters, a demographic where the Obama campaign is banking on an advantage of at least 15 percentage points. The poll showed 44 percent of likely Hispanic voters favoring Obama and 46 for Romney”

    This could very well be an ‘Anti-Obama’ Unvivision bump, and if it is, it is likely one which can not be corrected with meaningless words from the so-called ‘great orator’

  2. Lightwave on 12/12/12 at 11:48 am

    Between Libya, Syria, Fast & Furious, the first debate, and now Joe Biden’s absolute disaster, Romney is heading for what I’ve predicted since May: a double digit win and 150+ in the electoral college.

    Romney has locked down North Carolina. Virginia, Florida, Ohio and Colorado are graciously being called tossups now when Romney has a 5+ point lead, which in reality means a double digit lead.

    Iowa, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania are now in play. Romney is tied there, the polls showing Obama ahead are so out of whack it’s criminal.

    Romney is on his way to a huge win, one that will break the back of the Democrat party for decades.