ABC News/WaPo Presidential Poll With D+9 Sample Shows Dead Heat

Posted by on Oct 15, 2012 at 7:38 am

We suppose they have to do their best to prop up the failed president. Don’t want to hurt his feelings heading into tomorrow night’s debate. They should really consider presenting the sample in the story so we know whether to waste our time even taking it seriously.

On the eve of their second debate, President Obama and challenger Mitt Romney remain locked in a virtual dead heat nationally, with Republicans showing increased enthusiasm for their nominee after his big win in the first debate, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Likely voters in the new poll split 49 percent for Obama to 46 percent for Romney, basically unmoved from the poll two weeks ago, just before the two candidates met in Denver for their first debate. On topic after topic, the survey portrays an electorate that remains deeply divided along partisan lines and locked in its views.

It’s nonsense to claim the polls haven’t moved since prior to the first debate. Two weeks ago Romney was considered dead in the water. Now he’s leading, albeit by a very slim margin, in the RCP average. But we notice buried at the bottom of this page the following sample.

Check out some of the other questions preceding it. How can we take these people seriously?

Meanwhile, a Politico/GWU poll has Romney up by a points, 49-8, with a more realistic D+3 sample.

Mitt Romney is finally getting his Sally Field moment: They like him. At least more than they used to.

President Barack Obama clings to a 1-percentage-point national lead in a head-to-head matchup with the GOP nominee, but the first presidential debate has significantly improved Romney’s personal image.

A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll of likely voters puts Obama ahead of Romney 49 percent to 48 percent, a statistical tie and the same as the week before. Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Romney leads 50 percent to 48 percent.

Even as the head-to-head number held stubbornly steady for the past month, Romney improved his likability numbers. A slim majority, 51 percent, now views Romney favorably as a person, while 44 percent view him unfavorably.

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2 Responses to “ABC News/WaPo Presidential Poll With D+9 Sample Shows Dead Heat”

  1. Lightwave on 15/15/12 at 11:19 am

    Here’s a hint:

    Turnout will not be D+9.

    It will never favor the Democrats again, in fact.

    2010 had GOP winning independents by 15, tied with women, and plus 10 with men.

    For the 2012 polls like this to be accurate, you would have to accept 20 point swings in Obama’s favor among women and Independents and 10 points among all men. That’s ludicrous. It’s assuming the Tea Party revolution never existed.

    Romney should win by 8-10 points nationally and by 150+ electoral votes, including running the table on swing states. Anyone who says otherwise is going to be out of a career as a pollster in less than a month.

  2. Your Inner Voice on 15/15/12 at 4:35 pm

    Love the optimism – hate the reality.

    The 2010 TEA Party swing, resulting in an heavily-weighted GOP majority in Congress, appears NOT to have resulted in anything remotely resembling fiscal sanity sweeping into Congress. Implementation of ObamaCare is still being funded as scheduled, including the requirement for EVERYONE to be microchipped by Mar 2013.

    Obama has still been racking up debt like he still had a majority in Congress, and when/if Romney gets into office how is he going to put a stop (as a liberal Republican) to it?

    Maybe we will end commie-lib Dems as a political power, and simply replace them with RINOs who believe and practice exactly the same things at a slightly slower pace.

    Obama has been doing as he pleases, and has violated multiple laws for which the Dems and the whole rest of the world do not see him, or anyone else, suffering punishment.